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BJP's Victory Predicted Amidst Suspicions of Manipulated Voter Lists? | Mathematics Study

Data-driven Number Theory Analysis of 2024 LS Elections in Maharashtra suggests that shifts in the elector count between state polls and the 2024 LS elections do not account for the BJP's triumph. The Congress, associating the BJP's win with alleged voter roll manipulation, finds this outcome...

Are electoral victories of BJP potentially due to manipulated voter lists? | Mathematic Analysis
Are electoral victories of BJP potentially due to manipulated voter lists? | Mathematic Analysis

BJP's Victory Predicted Amidst Suspicions of Manipulated Voter Lists? | Mathematics Study

In the aftermath of the 2024 Maharashtra elections, a claim by the Opposition suggested that the BJP's victory was a result of voter fraud through manipulated electoral rolls. However, a thorough investigation by the Hindustan Times' data team has found no such evidence.

The data team's analysis, which was the first of its kind to use assembly constituency (AC)-wise analysis, did not reveal any systemic bias in deletions or doctored electoral rolls in Maharashtra. This finding contradicts the Opposition's claim that the BJP wins polls through voter fraud.

The Special Intensive Revision (SIR), a process aimed at maintaining the accuracy of electoral rolls, was conducted in several states. While the SIR has been known to lead to wrongful voter exclusions in some instances, the data team's analysis did not find such occurrences in Maharashtra.

The Opposition has flagged issues with electoral rolls in several states, but the electoral rolls in Maharashtra were not a factor in the BJP's victory in 2024. The post-SIR draft roll in Bihar, on the other hand, did show signs of systemic bias in deletions, as the data team's AC-wise analysis revealed.

It is important to note that India's electoral rolls have never been perfect, and issues with the rolls are not unique to Maharashtra or the 2024 elections. The data team has earlier shown that the SIR can lead to wrongful voter exclusions, but in the case of Maharashtra, the SIR did not result in such exclusions.

The article does not provide any evidence to support the Opposition's claim that the BJP wins polls through voter fraud. Neither does it specify any instances of voter fraud in the elections. The findings of the Hindustan Times' data team suggest that the BJP's victory in Maharashtra was not influenced by any alleged issues with the electoral rolls.

While the Opposition's claim regarding voter fraud in Maharashtra has been debunked, it is crucial to continue efforts towards maintaining the integrity of India's electoral process. This includes regular audits, transparent SIR processes, and vigilant monitoring to ensure that every eligible voter's right to vote is upheld.

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