India should monitor its hybrid threats as it looks towards Bangladesh, according to Syed Ata Hasnain.
In the volatile region of South Asia, tensions are escalating between Pakistan and India, with both nations engaging in a hybrid conflict that shows no signs of abating.
Recent developments in Bangladesh have caught the attention of the Pakistani "Deep State," which appears to be losing confidence in its current predicament but gaining confidence with the happenings in Bangladesh. There were speculations that Bangladesh could potentially become a third front for Pakistan, creating further complications for India's security.
The six-month anniversary of the August 5 Dhaka meltdown coincided with Kashmir Solidarity Day, adding fuel to the fire. Violence against minorities has been reported in urban hubs of Bangladesh, a sensitive issue in India that has further strained relations between the two countries.
The hybrid conflict between Pakistan and India has expanded, with "touch points" identified that could affect the Indian security psyche. One such instance was the visit of an ISI delegation to Rangpur, close to the Siliguri Corridor. The Jammu region has also experienced a recurrence of suspected Pakistani infiltration incidents, including a foiled BAT operation.
Pakistan's strategy seems to involve activating Jammu and Kashmir with small acts while keeping India's attention towards Bangladesh with inimical acts and gestures. Protesters in Dhaka even attacked and demolished the residence of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, a national founding leader.
India, on the other hand, has continuity in government with a history of good relations with US President Donald Trump. However, the imminence of the arrival of Trump 2.0 has led to worldwide efforts to find strategies that will deliver security and stability in the new era. The author is concerned about recent developments in Bangladesh and suggests that India should keep reviewing its older conflicts, even those perceived as smaller conflicts, as they may need only a few sparks to bring them to life.
It's important to note that there is no credible or verifiable information identifying specific "Deep State" elements within the Biden administration who may be collaborating with Pakistan or opposing India's rise. The term "Deep State" is often used ambiguously, and the sources do not provide concrete evidence or names related to such claims in the Biden administration.
As large conflicts and standoffs start to cool, there could be bubbles below the surface re-energised, potentially leading to new conflicts. The interim government in Bangladesh has launched Operation Devil Hunt to combat these incidents, but its effectiveness remains to be seen.
As the situation in South Asia continues to evolve, it's crucial for all parties involved to strive for peace and stability in the region. The author calls for a renewed effort towards diplomacy and dialogue to prevent further escalation of tensions.
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