Myanmar's growth hindered by floods and political upheaval according to the World Bank.
Myanmar, once under military rule for five decades, saw a significant change in March 2016 when Aung San Suu Kyi's civilian government took power following elections held late in 2015. This peaceful transition of power raised hopes for a better future.
However, the new government faces daunting tasks. Myanmar is one of Asia's poorest nations, and the country's complex political system poses challenges. Since 2011, the economy has been charging ahead with most Western sanctions lifted and foreign investors flooding in. Yet, the political transition has caused uncertainty, leading to a slowdown in investments.
The military still retains control of key security ministries and is guaranteed a quarter of parliamentary seats, partially tying Suu Kyi's hands. The military leadership, including junta chief Min Aung Hlaing, maintains significant control over both governance and economic sectors through military and quasi-civilian institutions. Powerful economic conglomerates linked to military figures and former military-owned enterprises have had the largest influence on the economy. No other civilian institutions or individuals have dominated to the same extent since the transition.
The heavy monsoon rains last summer negatively impacted productivity and exports, further adding to the economic woes. The World Bank estimated Myanmar's GDP growth for the 2015/16 financial year at 7%, a significant dip from the previous year's 8.5%. The World Bank, despite the dip in growth, maintains that Myanmar's overall economic prospects remain strong.
Myanmar is hampered by decrepit infrastructure, conflicts in resource-rich borderlands, and the continued influence of the military and junta-era cronies in business. The investment slowdown, triggered by uncertainty over the political transition, has further negatively impacted the economy. The ongoing structural constraints, short-term exchange rate pressures, and rising inflation are weighing on Myanmar's growth.
The heavy floods and investment slowdown have negatively impacted Myanmar's economic growth. The World Bank's country manager, Abdoulaye Seck, stated that Myanmar remains a powerful engine of change and development for its people. Despite the challenges, the hope for a better future remains high.
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