NFL Season 2025 Preview for Kansas City Chiefs: Five Controversial Predictions Highlight QB Mahomes and TE Kelce's Impressive Stats
The Kansas City Chiefs, led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, and head coach Andy Reid, are gearing up for another exciting season in the NFL. Ahead of the 2025 campaign, expert handicapper Jimmie Kaylor has shared his five betting hot takes for the Chiefs.
AFC Championship Heartbreak
Kaylor predicts that the Chiefs will secure their 10th consecutive division title and earn a top seed in the AFC playoffs. However, he expects an upset in the AFC Championship, with the Baltimore Ravens knocking the Chiefs out of the race for Super Bowl 60. The odds for this outcome stand at +550 on BetMGM.
George Karlaftis' Sack Surge
After three solid seasons and a big offseason contract, Kaylor expects defensive end George Karlaftis to reach double-digit sacks for the first time since his rookie season. The prop bet for Karlaftis to have 10+ regular season sacks is currently priced at +160 on DraftKings.
Mahomes' Touchdown Streak
Though Patrick Mahomes missed having a touchdown pass in all 17 regular season games in 2024, Kaylor expects him to achieve this feat in 2025. The odds for Mahomes to have a touchdown pass in every game are currently listed at +700 (possibly on DraftKings).
Over 10.5 Wins for the Chiefs
Kaylor projects the Chiefs to comfortably exceed 10.5 wins, estimating a 12-win season thanks to strong quarterback play and improved offensive line and receiving corps. The odds for the Chiefs to win over 10.5 games stand at -180 on DraftKings.
AFC West Over/Under Picks
While this is more about related AFC West teams, it supports Kaylor's view on the Chiefs’ strong 2025 season.
Other Notable Prop Bets
Travis Kelce is predicted to have 10 or more touchdown receptions in the 2025 NFL season, a prop bet currently priced at +600 on FanDuel.
Kaylor's Successful 2024 Season
Last season, Kaylor had a 55-34-4 record on NFL point spread and over/under picks, profiting 15.78 units.
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As the 2025 NFL season approaches, the Chiefs are widely considered to be among the top Super Bowl favourites, with odds of +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook. The team has won five of the last six AFC Championships and three Super Bowl titles. Additionally, the top Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts, and busts for the 2025 season can be found on the same website, according to the Projection Model. Notably, the Projection Model outperformed human experts in the 2024 NFL season.
- The Kansas City Chiefs, with Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Andy Reid at the helm, are preparing for another dominating season in the NFL.
- Expert handicapper Jimmie Kaylor anticipates the Chiefs will win their 10th consecutive division title and secure a top seed in the AFC playoffs.
- Kaylor predicts an upset in the AFC Championship, with the Baltimore Ravens knocking the Chiefs out of the Super Bowl 60 race, with odds at +550 on BetMGM.
- Defensive end George Karlaftis, following a strong offseason, is expected to reach double-digit sacks for the first time since his rookie season, with the prop bet currently priced at +160 on DraftKings.
- Kaylor expects Patrick Mahomes to have a touchdown pass in every game during the 2025 NFL season, with the odds currently listed at +700 on DraftKings.
- The expert predicts the Chiefs to exceed 10.5 wins, estimating a 12-win season, with the odds for the Chiefs to win over 10.5 games standing at -180 on DraftKings.
- Travis Kelce is predicted to have 10 or more touchdown receptions in the 2025 NFL season, with the prop bet currently priced at +600 on FanDuel.
- Last season, Kaylor had a successful run, with a 55-34-4 record on NFL point spread and over/under picks, profiting 15.78 units.
- As the 2025 NFL season approaches, the Chiefs are considered top Super Bowl favourites, with odds of +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook, and the team's Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts, and busts can be found on the same website, according to the Projection Model, which outperformed human experts in the 2024 NFL season.
